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Sep 4, 2026
Pick ’Em Thursday | Week 1
Pick ’Em Thursday | Week 1
00:00
14:44
Transcript
0:01
Welcome to High Confidence, the podcast about making bets on college football and getting high. I'm your host, Joey. This is our Pick 'Em Thursday episode.
0:17
This is where I consume the cannabis and make my picks for the week. I got six picks on my board. I'm betting $5 a piece. Again, we're not trying to get rich here.
0:27
We're trying to prove a point that great decisions in your life should be made high on the best weed possible. This week, I'm smoking a strain called Paradise from Team Elite Genetics.
0:42
Shout out to my plug for getting my hands on this. I covered the Paradise in this week's newsletter. The lineage on this Paradise is Peach Eyes and Kosher Kush. I'm feeling the effects of it.
0:54
It's sitting heavy behind my eyes. I can feel the freckles on my face. People always say, "Oh, you know, sativas aren't couch lockers," but this one is. It's probably that Kush in there.
1:04
It's got a great peach taste, and it's an 80/20 sativa. That's what I'm smoking, and that's what's gonna make the picks for me.
1:12
It ain't me, it ain't my education, it isn't my understanding of sports gambling or college football, 'cause I don't know shit about either. It's the Paradise. So, let's get to the board. Let's get right to it.
1:22
Let's waste no additional time. The first game on our board is Colorado versus Georgia Tech. That game is today at 8:00 PM in Atlanta. Let me give you a couple notes about the game.
1:33
Georgia Tech beat Colorado 27-20 last season, scoring the winning touchdown on a 45-yard run with 1:07 remaining. Colorado and Georgia Tech split the 1990 national championships.
1:46
Colorado finished number one in the AP Poll, while Georgia Tech finished number one in the Coaches' Poll.
1:52
Georgia Tech's Rumbling Wreck is an actual 1930 Ford Model A that has led the football team onto the field at home games since 1961. It's probably a great mechanic over there keeping that thing running.
2:04
Let's look at the bets that I'm looking at this week. Georgia Tech's the favorite. On the money line, they're -255, with Colorado being +205.
2:13
The spread is plus 6.5 points for Colorado, -6.5 points for Georgia Tech, and the total is 50.5 points for the over and the under.
2:25
I'm not gonna lie, I'm a fan of Deion, and I always pay attention to Deion, and his name is coming up in the streets a lot, and I'm, and I'm picking Deion. And because I'm picking Deion straight up,
2:35
I'm not worried about the spread, but I'm going for the money line. It's a better bet. Plus 205, which means if I bet $100, I'm gonna win $205, but I'm not betting $100. I'm betting $5.
2:46
I think Colorado's gonna beat them straight up. I don't think Georgia Tech has a chance. I think Colorado's gonna win, so that's my pick. The number two game on the board is number seven Miami at Stanford.
3:00
This game is Friday night at 9:00 PM and the game is in Stanford. Here are a couple game notes. Miami enters the season ranked number seven after reaching last season's national championship game.
3:11
Bay Area rapper E-40 is performing at halftime to celebrate the 20th anniversary of Might Get A Report Card. Stanford officially has no mascot.
3:20
Cardinal refers to the color, not a bird, and the Stanford tree is technically the mascot of the Stanford band. A school with no mascot, that's super interesting.
3:29
Now, let me tell you what about this game is super important to me. The fact that E-40 is performing at halftime, celebrating 20 years since he released Might Get A Report Card.
3:40
Might Get A Report Card has one of my favorite songs on it. It's a hyphy song. "Tell me where to go, go, go. Tell me where to go, go, go. Dun, dun." I think that's the song that's on Might Get A Report Card.
3:51
That's my shit. Because E-40 is performing this song at halftime, I think the crowd's gonna go insane. I think Miami's gonna go insane. I think that place is gonna be fucking rocking.
4:03
Therefore, I'm looking at the fucking total at 47.5. I think they're gonna shoot way past that. Let me give you the other bets to look at as well with this game.
4:14
Miami's the favorite over Stanford, of course, with them getting to the national championship last year, but they're -4,000, where Stanford is +1,400 on the money line. Ooh, that's good money right there.
4:25
The spread is 24.5 points, going to Miami, plus 24.5 to Stanford. And again, that over and under is 47.5. I think you got E-40 performing at halftime, and I think people are charged up. I think people are ready to go.
4:40
I think the band's lit. I think the quarterback's coming out. I think they're gonna throw that fucking ball. I'm going on the over on the 47.5.
4:49
This is gonna be easily a 50-plus-point game because E-40 gonna turn them motherfuckers up in there. Shout out to my man E-40. I'm betting with you, brother.
5:00
All right, the third game on the board this week is Coastal Carolina at West Virginia. This game is Saturday at 12:00 PM in Morgantown.
5:10
West Virginia is honoring quarterback Pat White and his number five before kickoff, and fans are asked to wear white for the ceremony. Let me tell you something. Ain't nothing like a good old all-white party.
5:22
You got my man Pat White. They're honoring his number five jersey. They're asking everybody to wear white. It's a all-white party. Shout out to West Virginia. I like a team that wants to throw a fucking party.
5:35
So, that's where I'm looking already. Without even reading any more information, just off the Pat White and the all-white party, I look like I'm leaning towards West Virginia. Let's see some more notes.
5:44
My man Pat White went 35-8 as West Virginia's starting quarterback and became the first college quarterback to start and win four consecutive bowl games. Shout out to my man Pat White.
5:53
He's dominating the game notes this week. Coastal Carolina has a campus superstition that students who step on one of the- Anthem Seals won't graduate on time. I don't give a fuck about that. So let's look at the bets.
6:05
West Virginia's the favorite at minus 2,000 with Coastal Carolina at plus 980 on the money line. The spread between this game is 20- 21.5 points.
6:14
Of course, that's going to West Virginia, plus 21.5 going to Coastal Carolina, and the total in this game is 56.5 on the over and under. Well, before I make my decision, I'm really feeling this Pat White guy.
6:26
I don't know who Pat White is, so let me give Pat White a little lookings. Now, if he's a crusty old white guy, I may feel differently. Pat White. Okay. Pat White is a brother. Shout out Pat White.
6:41
My man Pat White, all-white party, West Virginia. Let's look at this spread. I think I'm gonna take West Virginia minus 21.5. I think Coastal Carolina's gonna come in. I think they're gonna play some defense.
6:57
I'm taking West Virginia at the, at the negative 21.5. I think it's gonna be a closer game, but I think West Virginia's gonna cover the spread for sure. All right, let's go on to the fourth game.
7:07
Uh-oh, number 24, Louisville versus number nine, Ole Miss. And before I fuck it up, it's Louisville. I'm gonna say Louisville. I'm gonna say Louisville. I'm gonna fuck it up.
7:18
But my mother is from Louisville, and they don't play that shit. When you come from out of town, you get to saying Louisville, Louisville, they know you fucking green.
7:27
They might turn your fucking pockets inside out on bunny ears. That game is Sunday at 7:30, and it's at Nashville, Tennessee, so nobody has home court advantage on this game. This game is in Nashville.
7:39
This is the only second meeting between Louisville and Ole Miss. Ole Miss won the first match up 43-24 in 2021.
7:47
Ole Miss is coming, coming off the first 13-win season and first college football playoff semifinal appearance in school history.
7:54
The game is the inaugural Music City Kickoff and is being played on a neutral field at Nissan Stadium. Ole Miss says nobody definitively knows where Hotty Toddy came from.
8:07
Theories include the alcoholic Hot Toddy, an expression hoity-toity, and Virginia Tech's Highty Tighties. I don't know what the fuck a Ole Miss Hotty Toddy is. Let's look this shit up real quick.
8:18
You know, I get these random notes about the teams in the game. Ole Miss Hotty Toddy. Oh, it's a chant. Okay, they got a, they got a, a Hotty Toddy chant. Oh, I can read it to you. "Are you ready?"
8:33
Crowd, "Hell yeah, damn right." Leader, "Hotty Toddy, gosh almighty. Who the hell are we? Ay, phlim flam bim bam, Ole Miss by damn." [laughs] Let me tell you something, this chant alone has now changed my opinion.
8:52
If they get to hooping and hollering and screaming and shit, Louisville don't stand a fucking chance. I'm changing. At first I was swinging Louisville way. Now I'm looking at Ole Miss.
9:03
I'm looking at Ole Miss 'cause I like the fucking chant, and I feel like if I can get that going... Let's look at what the bets are.
9:10
The money line, Ole Miss is the favorite at negative 275 with Louisville taking plus 220.
9:15
The spread on the game is six and a half points with Ol- Ole Miss giving up six and a half, and I'm negative, and Louisville giving plus 65, and then the total for the game is 55.5 on the over and under.
9:27
It's gonna be a close game, but I think Ole Miss is gonna beat the shit out of them by way more than six and a half points. This ain't gonna be close at all to me. That chant got my blood pumping.
9:42
If it got my blood pumping, and I ain't even heard it before, I can only imagine what it's gonna do to the team. Again, I love Louisville, one of my favorite cities, my mom's hometown.
9:50
I met this freaky girl in Louisville who was... She was like in a bike gang. Oh my God. She was... Never mind. There's a lot of things to like about Louisville, but that Ole Miss chant, give me the spread.
10:02
Let's take Ole Miss minus six and a half even though I think it's gonna be a, a blowout off that chant alone. All right, let's go to the fifth game. We've got two more games left on the board. Let's go to the fifth game.
10:13
The fifth game is Wisconsin versus number four, Notre Dame. This game is Sunday at 7:30 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. Another non-neutral game. Okay, week one of college football. Let's go to some of these game notes.
10:27
This is Notre Dame's first game ever at Lambeau Field. The game was originally scheduled for 2020, but was postponed because of COVID.
10:35
The teams played the other half of the series in 2021 when Notre Dame beat Wisconsin 41-13. That was an ass whooping.
10:42
Wisconsin originally used a real live badger as its mascot, but the animal repeatedly escaped its handlers and was considered too vicious. Wisconsin temporarily replaced it with a raccoon.
10:52
You guys can't even keep a fucking badger under wraps? Wisconsin needs to get the fuck out of here. That's embarrassing.
10:59
Now granted, I heard badgers are some bad motherfuckers and they're really crafty, but you're a bunch of grown-ass motherfuckers. Y'all can't play any defense. That's what that shit tells me.
11:09
Wisconsin can't play any fucking defense 'cause they can't even keep their mascot protected. I mean, this is ridiculous. Fuck Wisconsin, even though it's my home state. I love Wisconsin. I'm sorry.
11:22
I'm talking about for this game. I'm going with Notre Dame. I don't need to see the money line, the spread, or the totals. I'm going with Notre Dame because Wisconsin can't play defense.
11:32
So let's look at the, let's look at the money line. Notre Dame is the favorite at minus 2,000. Wisconsin's getting plus 980. The spread is 20.5 points going to Notre Dame.
11:43
Wisconsin's getting the plus 20.5, and the over-under on this game is 47 and a half. Listen, I think Notre Dame's gonna score a shit ton of points because obviously Wisconsin can't play fucking defense.
11:55
I think I'm gonna take the over on this. I think I'm gonna take the over again. You know what? I'm going the other way. I'm gonna take the under, because- Notre Dame's gonna score a bunch of fucking points.
12:05
Wisconsin ain't gonna score shit. I'm taking the under. I'm taking a 47 and a half under on this game because I know Wisconsin cannot play defense because they cannot keep a fucking badger in his fucking cage.
12:18
All right, here's the last game on the board. Number 19, SMU at Florida State. This game is Monday at 7:30. The game will be had or held or whatever the fuck you want to call it in Tallahassee, Florida.
12:31
These schools have played only once before, and SMU beat the shit out of Florida State 42-16 in 2024. That 2024 win was SMU's first-ever ACC game and its first game as a power conference member since 1995.
12:46
Shout out to those guys. This is SMU's first trip to Tallahassee. Florida State already played Week 0 and beat New Mexico 34-17, while this is SMU's season opener. SMU's live Mustang mascot...
12:58
These names, I'm not fucking with this name. It's named after an old patent machine called, again, Peruna, Peruna Tonic that was said to have a kick.
13:08
SMU also documented a long-running legend that the original Peruna once kicked Fordham Ram's mascot and killed it. Goddamn. You mean to tell me their mascot is out here killing motherfuckers?
13:21
Oh, this game's going down to a field goal. I'm telling you right now, this game is going down to a field goal, and guess who's gonna fucking win? SMU's gonna win by the fucking field goal. I'm telling you.
13:34
Let's look at the bets. The money line bet. SMU's the favorite at 156, minus 156, I'm sorry, with Florida State getting plus 130.
13:43
On the spread, the game is only three and a half points going to Florida State, with SMU at the negative three and a half, and the over-under on this game is 35 and a half.
13:52
I'm telling you right now, I'm taking the spread. I'm taking SMU. They're gonna win. It says three and a half, so I'm really saying, you know what?
14:02
Because it's so close, let's take Florida State at three and a half because I think this game's gonna be won by three, field goal, game winner, SMU wins. I get paid more if SMU wins. No, no, no, no, I don't.
14:15
I'm gonna take the spread. Let's take the spread. I'm taking Florida State plus three and a half because I don't think SMU can beat them by more than that. All right, that's my board. Thank you for tuning in this week.
14:28
We come back on Tuesday where we look at the board, see what did I win and loss. I'm gonna break down units to determine how much money I did or did not win based on my bets.
14:40
Thank you for tuning in for the show, and I'll see you next time.
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